Showing posts with label profit. Show all posts
Showing posts with label profit. Show all posts

Saturday, 11 April 2015

Cost comparison Seaterra biodigestion vs gasification


At last week’s meeting we crushed any further point in avoiding a discussion around advanced gasification.  The savings are compelling.  $330 M compared with under $100M.  Possibly under $40 M and even possibly under $20 M (15 USD).  Here are the project numbers:

$ 2,200 M Seaterra project 50 yr life cycle costs
$ 782 M Seaterra project capital cost (estimate)
$ 330 M Seaterra project Hartland capital costs
$ 300 M Seaterra staff report (rejected) cost estimate for gasification: just sewage sludge; just core area
$ 332 M Tri-regional study cost estimate for gasification of all waste for three regions: Nanaimo, Cowichan, Victoria
$ 100 M Local gasification experts gave conservative estimate to gasify sewage sludge.
$ 60 M Seaterra project costs to date
$ 40 M per yr Seaterra project debt and operating costs
$ 37 M Hamilton, gasification all waste, Quantity ~= Nanaimo, Cowichan, Victoria
$ 19 M “Bribe” offered to Esquimalt
$ 17 M Viewfield purchase
$ 16 M per yr Seaterra project operating costs
$ <20 M (15 M USD) Independent gasification expert is working on similar project, but twice our needs,

References:

The only numbers we don't provide links to are the cost estimates of under 100M and under 15M.  See below .... failure to do any due diligence.
That price of under $20 M (15 M USD) seems reasonable when you look at the Hamilton Ontario $37 M facility. That one will handle 170,000 tonnes of material a year.  To gasify just our sewage would be about 10,000 tonnes per year (very rough because the weight varies by moisture content).

The point is the cost is a gigantic step smaller than digestion.  So even if it cost $40 M or even a $100M the cost savings are incredible.


Extra numbers ....  showing possible profit
$     5 M / yr pessimistic profit as stated in 2008 integrated resource management study
$    60 M / yr optimistic profit as stated in 2008 integrated resource management study


Capital Costs Anaerobic Digestion at Hartland



Monday, 6 April 2015

How to save a billion


The CRD / Seaterra plan has operating costs which add up to over 1.1 billion over the life of the project. It also needs over $300 million capital to build the “resource recovery centre” to treat the sewage residuals.  This capital cost needs to be financed and that adds interest expenses. The revenue from this was small and has possibly been reduced substantially since the initial project plan was made. There are options to this ‘resource recovery center’ which cost less and are more effective.  They need to be properly and independently evaluated and this has not been done.

Experts in the field say that advanced gasification could cost a little less than $100 M and make money.  This saves $200 M in capital costs; saves interest costs; saves 1.1 billion in operating cost; and possibly makes money.


This saves well over a billion dollars.